Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +24 (112-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 31 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 39 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 23 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| DJ White | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shavlik Randolph | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter