Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +16 (107-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ridnour * | 37 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Hibbert * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 25 | - |
| George Hill * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| David West * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 28 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Paul George * | 27 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 21 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sam Young * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter