Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +13 (106-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 42 | 12-19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 41 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 34 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 27 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Henson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ish Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 42 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 41 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 32 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter