Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +24 (107-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 26 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Danny Green * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 22 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 21 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Rubio * | 34 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 29 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 27 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 25 | 6-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
* = starter