Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -7 (108-115). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 36 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Mike James * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 22 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 41 | 12-24 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 38 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 22 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ish Smith | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter