Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (95-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martell Webster * | 42 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| John Wall * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 13-14 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 31 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| AJ Price * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jason Collins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 32 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 10-14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 21 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 19 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter