Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -9 (97-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 25-39 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 48 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darius Morris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 44 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 43 | 9-19 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 40 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 16 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 10 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| DeQuan Jones * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter