Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +2 (98-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 39 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 39 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 38 | 8-15 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Barton | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Roberts * | 42 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 37 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Darius Miller * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lance Thomas * | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter