Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +8 (99-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Young * | 40 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 38 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Charles Jenkins * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 38 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 16 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| DeQuan Jones * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter