Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (100-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 29 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 25 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 40 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 39 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 28 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 25 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter