Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (90-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Robinson * | 43 | 8-19 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 42 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 40 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Teague * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 40 | 6-16 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 39 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 22 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter