Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +12 (91-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 30 | 5-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 28 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 11-11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter