Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -10 (93-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 43 | 10-16 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 36 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| JJ Redick | 31 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ish Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Henson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 39 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Draymond Green | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter