Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (107-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 42 | 11-17 | 7-10 | 9-12 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 27 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 34 | 5-16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 28 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 17 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Robinson * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Smith | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dudley * | 33 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 15 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter