Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +17 (104-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 44 | 11-25 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 38 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Byron Mullens | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martell Webster * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | - |
| John Wall * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 34 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| AJ Price | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jan Vesely | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter