Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +29 (113-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 17 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Alec Burks | 26 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Williams | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Murphy | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iman Shumpert * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| James White * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| JR Smith | 28 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Steve Novak | 26 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Kenyon Martin | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kidd | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Camby | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
* = starter