Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +5 (107-102). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 47 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 45 | 13-27 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 44 | 10-20 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 38 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 34 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| John Jenkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 39 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Green | 36 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry | 35 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter