Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -7 (113-120). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Gallinari * | 36 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 34 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 6-12 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 21 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Andre Miller | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Wilson Chandler | 21 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Thomas * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| John Salmons * | 32 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 27 | 1-12 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 34 | 12-21 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| James Johnson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter