Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +17 (122-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 39 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 11-12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Steve Blake | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 9-22 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 15-29 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 24 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 28 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Derek Fisher | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nick Collison | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter