Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -8 (101-109). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 34 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 28 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Green | 28 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 44 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 41 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 33 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 23 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter