Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +17 (122-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 36 | 5-20 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 28 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 27 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 15 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 36 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Victor Claver | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Will Barton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter