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2013-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 45.2% 54.8% +1.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Margin 32.6% 67.4% +4.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards +3 (90-87). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Hawes * 38 6-11 1-2 1-2 11 3 0 1 1 14 17 -
Jrue Holiday * 36 4-19 2-7 4-4 3 6 2 0 2 14 4 -
Thaddeus Young * 34 5-12 0-0 4-6 6 2 3 0 1 14 12 -
Evan Turner * 33 4-13 0-0 3-4 10 4 0 0 1 11 11 -
Royal Ivey * 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
Dorell Wright 25 5-10 3-6 2-2 3 2 1 1 0 15 12 -
Damien Wilkins 21 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 6 0 -
Lavoy Allen 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Arnett Moultrie 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Jeremy Pargo 2 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 36 6-12 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 2 2 14 9 -
Emeka Okafor * 35 4-9 0-0 4-6 16 3 1 1 4 12 20 -
Nene Hilario * 34 7-14 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 2 3 15 12 -
John Wall * 31 7-11 0-1 2-2 5 6 0 1 2 16 15 -
Martell Webster * 30 4-10 3-5 5-5 2 2 0 1 0 16 11 -
Trevor Ariza 27 2-8 1-2 4-4 8 2 0 0 2 9 9 -
AJ Price 17 1-7 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 0 -
Jan Vesely 16 3-6 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
Kevin Seraphin 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Garrett Temple 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter