Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -2 (109-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 42 | 11-20 | 2-7 | 5-10 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 37 | 12-22 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Andre Miller | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 40 | 11-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 40 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 32 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Victor Claver | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Barton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter