Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +45 (119-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rivers * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 24 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 23 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Darius Miller | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 12-12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 23 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 22 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Derek Fisher | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 17 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nick Collison | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter