Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -1 (95-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 39 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 36 | 11-18 | 5-6 | 5-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Will Bynum | 13 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kim English | 11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 42 | 8-16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| John Wall * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 33 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| AJ Price | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
* = starter