Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +4 (109-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 48 | 18-28 | 11-13 | 7-7 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 54 | 38 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 37 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Carl Landry | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Chandler * | 42 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 39 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 10-26 | 2-7 | 13-15 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 16 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JR Smith | 35 | 10-19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Steve Novak | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kenyon Martin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James White | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter