Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +22 (106-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Henderson * | 35 | 12-19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 34 | 5-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 31 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 26 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 33 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Grant Hill | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Willie Green | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter