Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +1 (84-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Pekovic * | 40 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 39 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 3-10 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 38 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 28 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 23 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 40 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Wesley Johnson | 35 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 31 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter