Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -3 (98-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Waiters * | 36 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 26 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Luke Walton | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| CJ Miles | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joakim Noah * | 41 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 39 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 38 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 33 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 26 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 21 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter