Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +11 (108-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 14-20 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 22 | - |
| David Lee * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 35 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 26 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Carl Landry | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Draymond Green | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 41 | 9-17 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| George Hill * | 37 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| David West * | 35 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 29 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Danny Granger | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter