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Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - ✗
Margin 34.9% 65.1% - ✗
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 36.6% 63.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% - ✗

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -14 (84-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Nikola Vučević * 35 5-12 0-0 2-4 19 1 0 1 4 12 17 -
Arron Afflalo * 34 8-17 0-0 0-0 6 7 1 0 2 16 11 -
E'Twaun Moore * 33 4-9 3-5 1-2 0 10 1 0 2 12 12 -
Maurice Harkless * 31 3-4 0-1 4-5 4 2 1 0 0 10 13 -
Andrew Nicholson * 17 6-8 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 2 13 6 -
Tobias Harris 30 7-9 1-2 1-2 7 2 1 1 1 16 17 -
Beno Udrih 26 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 9 0 0 2 4 7 -
Al Harrington 12 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 7 -
DeQuan Jones 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Doron Lamb 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 39 4-11 1-3 0-0 3 10 0 0 1 9 10 -
Thaddeus Young * 33 4-11 0-0 0-0 10 0 3 0 0 8 10 -
Evan Turner * 28 2-7 0-0 6-10 8 2 0 0 2 10 11 -
Spencer Hawes * 20 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 6 1 -
Nick Young * 14 1-6 0-3 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Damien Wilkins 28 6-12 0-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 14 6 -
Jeremy Pargo 21 5-8 2-3 2-3 0 3 0 0 3 14 6 -
Lavoy Allen 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
Dorell Wright 16 4-11 3-8 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 11 10 -
Royal Ivey 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
Arnett Moultrie 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Charles Jenkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter