Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -3 (107-110). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bass * | 41 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 39 | 10-20 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 39 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Green | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Jason Terry | 22 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 16 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 36 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Alec Burks | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter