Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (103-114). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 39 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 34 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 32 | 5-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| John Jenkins | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Devin Harris | 13 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Johan Petro | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Stuckey * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 23 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kim English | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter