Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (84-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 39 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| John Wall * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| AJ Price | 23 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 41 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 31 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani | 21 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| John Lucas III | 16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Landry Fields | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter