Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +30 (102-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joakim Noah * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 30 | 2-14 | 1-8 | 8-9 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 18 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 31 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nick Collison | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Orton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter