Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (92-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 32 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 31 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Green | 30 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Jason Terry | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 39 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 37 | 8-11 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Victor Claver | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Will Barton | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter