Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +15 (110-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| John Salmons * | 36 | 6-14 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 34 | 4-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| James Johnson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 27 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 23 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jason Smith | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darius Miller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter