Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -1 (99-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lee * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 35 | 8-19 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Carl Landry | 32 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Draymond Green | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 37 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter