Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -24 (94-118). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 26 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 24 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 22 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| CJ Miles | 19 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Luke Walton | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Harkless * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tobias Harris | 24 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter