Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -14 (99-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 29 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Wilson Chandler | 28 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 27 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Andre Miller | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 17 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bismack Biyombo * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 31 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 33 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter