Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +2 (105-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 42 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| James Harden * | 42 | 10-23 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 35 | 4-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 23 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Patrick Beverley | 21 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Greg Smith | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| James Anderson | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| John Wall * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Ariza | 33 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| AJ Price | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter