Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (107-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 40 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 38 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Danny Green * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 26 | 8-17 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gary Neal | 9 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Patty Mills | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 44 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 43 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| David Lee * | 42 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 42 | 11-22 | 1-6 | 7-9 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Carl Landry | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Draymond Green | 12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter