Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +4 (111-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 9-22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 37 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 6-19 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 34 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Will Barton | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Victor Claver | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 35 | 15-23 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 25 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Steve Blake | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 20 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
* = starter