Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -25 (88-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 38 | 11-14 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 34 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 17 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Fab Melo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 42 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 19 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Johnson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter