Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +16 (127-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Rubio * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 22 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Alexey Shved | 25 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 24 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 13-22 | 2-2 | 9-9 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 28 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 25 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Nick Collison | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Orton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter