Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +6 (88-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Harkless * | 45 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 43 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 39 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 21 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ed Davis | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Daye | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter