Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +14 (122-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 37 | 11-22 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 37 | 9-18 | 4-6 | 8-9 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| John Salmons * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| James Johnson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 26 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 33 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 32 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Devin Harris | 12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| John Jenkins | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Johan Petro | 4 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Scott | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter