Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -10 (96-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 42 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 39 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 36 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Greg Smith | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Patrick Beverley | 14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| James Anderson | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 40 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 39 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 35 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 24 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 16 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter