Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +32 (114-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Stuckey * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 23 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Will Bynum | 22 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Kim English | 20 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| David West * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Paul George * | 25 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 23 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Sam Young | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Green | 12 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter