Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -30 (75-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joakim Noah * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 24 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 20 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 20 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 36 | 9-17 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 27 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 24 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 23 | 0-9 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter